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60% of the FX price changes occurred within the first minute of economic release


This is interesting piece from Finance Magnates (good ForexLive friends!), it examines the FX market's reactions to major economic events:

  • focus on Federal Reserve meetings, NFP releases, and CPI releases
  • uses high-frequency data to analyze price changes on a millisecond scale

The report highlights the pace of price movements. It shows that 60% of intra-hour price changes occur within the first minute, with 30% occurring in the first two seconds after an economic announcement.

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I'm guessing that many of us reading this will not necessarily be trading “millisecond price changes”. Some will, I wouldn't think most. But for us (myself included) manual sell traders the information suggests that getting ahead of the established trend quickly, possibly back in price, could be a trading opportunity – supported by this data.

The link above is to the FinMag article. Let me know what you think in the comments!



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