Ford Stock Update: Highlights and Analyst Outlook for Investors
Jefferies downgrades Ford stock to outperform, predicts challenges in 2025
Ford stock faced fresh downgrades today when Jefferies moved its rating from Keep to Underachievement and cut the price target from it From 12 to $9. Analysts predict that 2025 will bring additional challenges to Ford stock, driven by continued macroeconomic pressures, competitive electric vehicle (EV) markets, and slower consumer demand. Despite Ford's continued efforts to streamline operations and focus on its EV transition, rising interest rates and operational inefficiencies remain significant headaches. This latest drop suggests that Ford stock may be in for a further pullback in the near term.
Ford stock fell 3%. We asked our AI What he thinks about that…
Ford Stock (F) Prediction Score: -3 (Average carry with major support risks)
Key Observations
From the 4-Hour Schedule:
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Price below the main levels:
- The current price at $10.12 trading below:
- $10.35: Low Friday Value Range (bare).
- $10.39: Friday POC (Point of Control).
- This failure to recover Friday's levels reflects bearish sentiment and indicates weakness in buyer control.
- The current price at $10.12 trading below:
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Emergency support levels below:
- $10.12: An important bare level acting as a current support. If this level fails, the price could accelerate downwards.
- $10.00: The psychological round number. Expect “price there” here as marketers shake up both long and short.
- $9.96: First major important support level below $10.
- $9.67: The next area of support if buyers fail to defend above levels.
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Delta Analysis:
- The latest 4-hour bar shows a large negative delta changeindicating the strong leadership of the seller.
- Cumulative delta is moving lower, confirming a bearish trend.
From the 30-Minute Record:
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VWAP slope and price action:
- VWAP today and $10.21 and POC Friday at $10.39 resist brightness.
- VWAP is sloping down, confirming short-term bearish pressure.
- The price is still well below the standard bare level $10.35indicates that sellers are protecting these areas.
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Delta Verification and Measurement:
- High sales volume and negative delta change control several 30-minute bars:
- 14:30 Bar: Price closes weak with a a negative delta change of -270Kindicating aggressive sales.
- There is a lack of strong buyers in attempts to reverse, suggesting continued weakness.
- High sales volume and negative delta change control several 30-minute bars:
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Key support levels to monitor:
- Immediate support at $10.12 is under pressure.
- Could break concentration $10.00 (round number) and $9.96.
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Resists watching:
- $10.21: VWAP today.
- $10.35: Friday's low bare value area.
- $10.39: POC Friday.
Summary for Traders and Investors
- Bias: Medium bearish (-3), with lower risks if $10.12 failure as support.
- Near term forecast:
- Breakdown below $10.12 see price test $10.00 and maybe $9.96.
- Traders should watch for any reversals towards resistance levels like $10.21 (VWAP), $10.35or $10.39 for signs of the seller's strength.
Important Note for Traders
This AI-driven analysis indicates a bearish directional bias for Ford Stock (F) based on current price action, key levels, and order flow data. Traders should exercise choice and to align this tendency with their individual strategies.
For example, traders who want to be short can wait for a retracement close $10.21 (VWAP) or $10.35 before entering into positions. In the same way, the price may feel volatility around the $10.00 the round numberwhere market makers could stop hunting for both long and short.
Trade at your own riskand for additional insights and updates, return to forexlive.com
Ford Stock Performance Metrics: Financial Outlook
Ford stock price history low valuation levelsoffers a potential appeal to value investors but with certain risks:
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Market cap: $41.29B – Ford is still an important player in the car sector.
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P/E Ratio: 11.85 | Forward P/E: 6.09 – Ford stock appears to be cheap relative to earnings, indicating potential value opportunities.
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Dividend Yield: 5.77% TTM | East. 6.72% – A strong dividend yield makes Ford stock attractive to income-oriented investors, but the 116.20% compared to yesterday raising concerns about sustainability.
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Concerns about employment growth:
- EPS this year: -9.88%
- EPS Y/Y TTM: -42.42%
- Next year's EPS: 1.71 – Analysts expect some earnings recovery next year, but Ford must overcome current downward trends.
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Debt/Equity Ratio: 3.60 – High debt is still a particular risk for Ford stock, although the company money for each share from $9.29 providing a liquidity buffer.
Technical and Stock Performance Indicators
Ford stock has underperformed relative to its consumer cyclical peers, reflecting market uncertainty and investor caution:
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YTD performance: -13.53% | 1-year performance: -6.22% – Big losses have been seen in Ford stock, reflecting the challenges in the wider sector.
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SMA trends:
- SMA 20: -4.04%
- SMA 50: -4.11%
- SMA 200: -11.02% – Ford stock continues to decline across all major moving averages.
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RSI (14): 39.28 – Approaching oversold territory, which may attract short-term buyers looking for a return.
Recent analyst ratings for Ford stock: Downgrades Dominate
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Jefferies (Today):
- Activity: Depression
- Change rating: Hold → Underachieve
- Price Target: $12 → $9
- Take away: Download logos further disadvantage for Ford stock in the near term.
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Wolfe Research (December 5, 2024):
- Activity: Depression
- Change rating: Peers performing → Underachieving
- Take away: Confirms underperformance compared to peers, adding more caution to Ford stock investors.
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Bernstein (November 7, 2024):
- Activity: Depression
- Change rating: Better Performance → Market Performance
- Price Target: $11
- Take away: The removal of a superior status is a sign of slow confidence in Ford stock.
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Goldman Sachs (October 1, 2024):
- Activity: Raise up
- Change rating: Neutral → Buy
- Price Target: $12 → $13
- Take away: Goldman's upgrade remains an outsider, indicating hope for a long-term recovery in Ford stock.
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Morgan Stanley (September 25, 2024):
- Activity: Depression
- Change rating: Overweight → Equal Weight
- Price Target: $16 → $12
- Take away: The price target has been cut to $12 reflecting lower and more optimistic expectations.
Ford Ranger discounts add to pressure for year-end sales
Ford stock investors should be aware that Ford actively offers financing discounts on the Ford Ranger throughout December 2024. These include:
- Special lease agreements and cash back incentives to buyers.
- Focused effort to drive year-end sales and manage inventory while addressing affordability in a high interest rate environment.
The move may help support Ford's revenue but reflects continued efforts to woo buyers amid sluggish car demand.
Investor Takeaway for Ford Stock
Today, Ford's exchange rate has risen against a low valuation with a forward P/E of 6.09making it attractive to value investors looking for long-term opportunities. However, there are still significant risks, including:
- Discounts: Analysts have cut ratings and price targets significantly, with Jefferies dropping the target to $9.
- Employment Decline: EPS trends remain weak, with year-over-year earnings falling 42.42%.
- Debt Pressure: High debt levels are raising concerns despite strong cash reserves.
- Underperformance: Ford's exchange rate fell to a pound -13.53% YTD and changed so far -6.22% compared to yesterdayfollowing key criteria.
On the bright side, Ford's 5.77 % today. provides an earnings cushion, and technical indicators show that the stock is approaching oversold conditions. Ford stock investors should monitor earnings growth, debt management, and execution on key strategies, especially in the EV markets and cost reduction, as critical factors for future performance.
Summary: While Ford stock remains a value play for patient investors, caution is warranted due to analyst downgrades, high debt, and ongoing performance challenges. Short-term risks remain, but long-term recovery is possible if Ford delivers on its growth strategies.