Will December Outpace November's Bitcoin Price Surge?

Bitcoin is closing out one of the most spectacular months in history, surging above $30,000 in November and signaling renewed sentiment in the market. As we look ahead to December and beyond, investors are eager to understand whether the Bitcoin movement can sustain itself until 2025. With macroeconomic conditions, historical trends, and data on chain aligning in Bitcoin's favor, let's examine what is happening and what it could mean for him. the future.

A very successful performance in November

November 2024 was not just a month for Bitcoin; it was historic. The price of Bitcoin rose from about $67,000 to almost $100,000, an increase of about 50% from top to bottom, making it the best month ever in terms of dollar appreciation. This rally rewarded long-term holders who endured months of consolidation after Bitcoin's peak of $74,000 earlier in the year.

*Figure 1: Bitcoin has rallied over $30,000 in November.*

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Historically, Q4 has been Bitcoin's strongest quarter, and November has often been a standout month. December, who has also performed well in previous bull rings, looks promising. But like any gathering, a short-term cooling may be expected.

*Figure 2: Q4 has historically been Bitcoin's favorite period.*

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The Role of the Dollar and Global Liquidity

Interestingly, Bitcoin's rise occurred against a backdrop of strengthening US Dollar Strength Index (DXY)a situation that usually sees Bitcoin perform lower. Historically, Bitcoin and the DXY have maintained an inverse relationship: when the dollar strengthens, Bitcoin weakens, and vice versa.

*Figure 3: Bitcoin rallied even as USD strength increased.*

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Likewise, the Global M2 money supply, another key metric, has shown a slight decline recently. Bitcoin has historically been positively associated with global liquidity; therefore, his current performance is contrary to expectations. If the liquidity situation improves in the coming months, this could be a powerful head start for the price of Bitcoin.

*Figure 4: Global M2 YoY chart showing liquidity contraction.*

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Parallel to Past Bull Cycles

Bitcoin's current path is very similar to past bull markets, especially the 2016-2017 cycle. That cycle began with a gradual price increase before breaking key resistance levels and entering an exponential growth phase.

In 2017, the price of Bitcoin broke out from a key technical level around $1,000, leading to a parabolic rally that peaked at $20,000, a 20x increase. Similarly, in the 2020-2021 cycle Bitcoin increased from $20,000 to almost $70,000 after breaking above the critical. YoY performance threshold.

*Figure 5: BTC's current performance showing parallels with the price before breaking key resistance levels.*

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If Bitcoin can break out decisively from this historical level and above the key resistance of $100,000, we may see a repeat of these explosive price movements as BTC enters to the exponential level of bullish price action.

Adoption and Institutional Collection

A key factor underlying Bitcoin's strength is its continued accumulation by institutions. Bitcoin ETFs adding billions of dollars worth of BTC to their holdings, and corporations like MicroStrategy have doubled down on their Bitcoin strategy, now holding nearly 400,000 BTC. Even with BTC rallying to new highs all the time, 'smart money' is scrambling to accumulate as much as they can to ensure they are not left behind.

*Figure 6: Institutions do not wait for a redraw to collect BTC.*

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This institutional demand reflects growing confidence in Bitcoin as a long-term store of value, even in volatile market conditions. Such accumulation also tightens available supply, creating upward pressure on prices as demand increases.

Decision

Although December has historically been a strong month for Bitcoin, short-term volatility could dampen gains as the market weathers November's sharp rally. Although the aggressive collection we are seeing from institutional partners anything is possible.

In the long term, however, the outlook remains extremely positive. The obvious level to watch is $100,000 as the next big milestone, which, if broken, could pave the way for a much bigger rally in 2025. Bitcoin is entering to one of its most exciting levels yet, with the stars seemingly aligning over macroeconomic, technical. , and on-chain metrics.

For a more in-depth look at this topic, check out a recent YouTube video here: The BIGGEST Bitcoin Month Ever – So What Happens Next?