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A 20%-30% Correction Is 'The Thirstiest Thing' That Could Happen To Bitcoin – Analyst


This article is also available in Spanish.

Bitcoin is navigating turbulent waters as its price continues to decline, finding a stable support level amid growing uncertainty. The current downward trend has raised concerns among investors and analysts, with many questioning whether Bitcoin has reached the top of its cycle. Sentiment in the market has shifted significantly, with fear replacing the once euphoric hope that drove the digital currency to high levels recently.

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Despite the problem, crypto analyst Ali Martinez offers a more optimistic view of the situation. In a recent analysis shared on X, Martinez suggested that a 20% to 30% correction could be the most optimistic outcome for Bitcoin at this point. It highlights how such pullbacks have historically set the stage for stronger rallies by shaking weaker hands and allowing the market to reset before starting the way up.

As Bitcoin price action tightens forward possible breakeven marginall eyes are on key support levels that could determine the next move. Will Bitcoin confirm the fears of a cycle top, or will a healthy correction provide the basis for the next stage of its rally? The coming weeks will be crucial in shaping the narrative for the world's leading digital currency.

Bitcoin's correction is going down

Bitcoin appears close to entering a critical correction phase, with the $92K level appearing as the line in the sand. Analysts and investors are increasingly concerned that a drop below this level – and perhaps the $90K mark – could trigger a wave of selling pressure, driving the price into territory. ​sub-$80K. The growing fear has cast a shadow over Bitcoin's bullish narrative as many look for potential risks.

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However, not everyone sees this possible correction as bearish. Martinez offers a contrarian viewsuggesting that a 20% to 30% correction could be the most positive outcome for Bitcoin within the context of a bull trend.

Martinez presented a solid chart showing all Bitcoin corrections higher than 20% in past bull markets. His findings indicate that each of these corrections was a reset for the market, shaking off weaker hands and paving the way for stronger rallies.

Bitcoin 20% and above corrections during uptrends
Bitcoin 20% and over corrections during uptrends | Source: Ali Martinez on X

Martinez emphasizes that corrections are a natural and healthy part of Bitcoin price cycles, especially during bull runs. By allowing the market to rebalance, they set the stage for a steady upward trend. If Bitcoin experiences a major pullback, it could be a precursor to a stronger and longer rally in the coming months.

BTC Tests 'Last Line of Defense'

Bitcoin is currently trading at $94,500, engaging in sustained selling pressure and bearish price action. Market sentiment has fluctuated significantly in recent days, with fears of a deeper move gaining traction among analysts and investors. Many believe that if Bitcoin misses the $92,000 mark, it could open the door for a faster decline.

BTC lower demand test
BTC Testing Lower Demand | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

The $90,000 level appears as the critical support area that Bitcoin needs to maintain in order to maintain its supportive outlook. This level represents a psychological and technical obstacle that could determine the cryptocurrency's path in the coming weeks. If BTC manages to stay above $90K, analysts expect a strong recovery that could bring back a strong move and lead to a push towards previous highs.

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However, the stakes are high. A decisive break below the $90,000 level would likely put pressure on selling, driving Bitcoin into a deeper correction zone. In such a scenario, prices could drop as low as $75,000, marking a significant pullback from recent highs.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView



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