In a thread on X, Alistair Milne, co-founder and Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of the Altana Digital Currency Fund (ADCF), has outlined his Bitcoin predictions for 2025. With ADCF's tenure going back to 2014, Milne's comments carry a lot of weight in the investment community.
Bitcoin Predictions for 2025
Milne began his prediction by addressing the possible involvement of the United States in the Bitcoin rally. “Some of my Bitcoin predictions for 2025: The big one: Trump he won't announce the purchase of Bitcoin on behalf of the US in 2025, but he will sign an order preventing any seized BTC from being sold… creating a defacto reserve. It will still create global FOMO,” Milne said.
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Therefore, Milne expects that Trump will not follow the US Senator Cynthia Lummis' Bitcoin Act which proposes to buy 1 million BTC over five years. However, Milne believes that the US under President-elect Trump will keep the 198,109 BTC (according to Arkham data) as a national stock as Trump promised at the last Bitcoin Summit in Nashville, which could causing fear of missing out (FOMO) across the globe.
Expanding on the international landscape, Milne expects more adoption by smaller and more flexible countries. “Other, smaller and more flexible countries (besides Bhutan and El Salvador) will declare Bitcoin Reserves and start buying or mining before the US does. Middle Eastern countries will start declaring their holdings,” he said.
Physical contact with Bitcoin is also expected to increase. Milne expects at least one other S&P 500 company, meaning no Tesla or MicroStrategy will announce the acquisition of Bitcoin in 2025.
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Milne's Bitcoin predictions still contain price predictions. He predicts, “Bitcoin should get to around $200-250k, even without the US gov buying. If the US starts buying, expect closer to $500k. Yes, in 2025. This is because it officially becomes a nation state arms race and there is not enough Bitcoin.”
Milne also addresses market dynamics, predicting that Bitcoin will peak in the second half of the year. While in October, he predicts that the bear market will be “much milder than the previous ones as nation states and corporations will slowly consolidate. “
Addressing concerns related to the security and stability of the market, Milne mentions, “Bitfinex has finally sent back most of the hacked BTC… slowly turn 80% off to LEO over 18 months).
The collapse and subsequent recovery of major exchanges plays a role in Milne's Bitcoin prediction for 2025. He says, “FTX starts distributing the USD to creditors in Q1, through several exchanges large … making it easy for them to reinvest in Bitcoin, etc. At least 50% of the money returned will be invested.” This influx of reinvested funds is expected to inject liquidity back into the Bitcoin market, fostering a renewed price rally.
Milne does not overlook the performance of institutional investors, noting, “MSTR will have a 'Bitcoin yield' of ~30% in 2025 before the price closes.” Finally, Milne concludes his Bitcoin predictions with a note to Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht. On the campaign trail, US President Donald Trump promised to free Ulbricht. He expects Trump to follow through on his words: “Ross will be freed.”
At press time, BTC was trading at $93,070.
Featured image created by DALL.E, a chart from TradingView.com
