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Dogecoin Jumps 20%, But Social Media Still Carries: Green Signal for Rally?


Dogecoin has recovered well in the past week, but social media users have remained bearish. Here's why this could be good for the rally.

Dogecoin's pressure sentiment has been negative recently

As noted by analyst Ali Martinez in a new post on X, Dogecoin Weight Sense still has a red value. The “Sensation with stress” here referring to an indicator from the Santiment analytical company that tells us about the main opinion related to a specific asset present on the main social media platforms.

This metric is based on two other indicators: Emotional Balance and Social dimension. The first of these, the Sentiment Balance, measures the net sentiment present on social media.

It works by putting the different posts/messages/threads through a machine learning model to differentiate between positive and negative posts. Then, he takes the two accounts and subtracts them to determine the net market position.

While the Sentiment Balance provides an overview of social media, it may not always be the best representation of the majority of users, as all it can do is take data into account. the messages that are there now. That is, it only says about the sentiment of the active users, regardless of whether they are a minority by count.

To mitigate this problem and achieve greater accuracy, the Sentiment Weight includes the second element: the Social Book. This indicator measures the unique total number of posts on social media referring to the cryptocurrency.

Therefore, by weighting the sensitivity balance with this metric, the Auxiliary Sense ensures that its value only registers a spike (in either direction) when both large deviations a towards one opinion and a large number of users expressing their opinion.

Now, here is the table for the weight of Dogecoin shared by the analyst that shows the movement of its value over the last few months:

Dogecoin weight sensitivity

As shown in the graph above, Dogecoin's Weight Sense turned negative in December when the meme coin's bull rally hit a barrier, and its price went back to the downside.

The negative sentiment has not changed in 2025 so far, but interestingly, the movement in the price has. Over the past week, the asset has seen a revival rally more than 20%. The continued bearish sentiment would mean that this run has not been enough to change the opinion of social media users yet.

Historically, digital assets have tended to move in a way that is contrary to most people's expectations. From the chart, it appears that Dogecoin's November tops were accompanied by positive spikes in the weighting.

Therefore, since the traders are pessimistic towards DOGE at the moment, this latest rally may have more room before they come across a wall.

DOGE price

After recovering in the last few days, Dogecoin has seen its value climb to the $387 mark.

Dogecoin stock price history graph



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