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Four-year cycle points to peak in Q2/Q4, Expert advises caution


This article is also available in Spanish.

As the market approaches the end of 2024, the crypto landscape is full of speculation and anticipation. A recent report from data aggregator CoinGecko has provided a comprehensive analysis of what investors can expect in 2025.

With the market gaining great knowledge correctionmany industry partners are left questioning their next steps. However, CoinGecko's comments suggest a promising path ahead.

Broader crypto market indicators point to significant growth

One of the stand out prophecies centers around Bitcoin (BTC), the leading cryptocurrency. The report indicates that Bitcoin is in a favorable position within a logarithmic analysis of its monthly chart, showing a consistent upward movement within an ascending channel.

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Currently, Bitcoin is approaching an important pivot point within this channel, reflecting patterns seen during previous bullish cycles. Optimistically, the analyst predicts that Bitcoin could rise to $250,000, showing an incredible increase of 154%.

This projection closely aligns with historical trends seen after Bitcoin Halving events, where supply constraints often lead to price increases. A milestone like this would not only secure Bitcoins leadership in the crypto market but also attracting a wave of new investors.

The broader cryptocurrency market is also showing signs of significant growth. Total market capitalization is currently driving a rising wedge pattern, which has historically been a precursor to large bullish rallies.

Altcoin Season on the Horizon?

In a more detailed look at the market, the report highlights the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies outside the top 10.

This category has reportedly formed a classic “cup and treat” pattern on its monthly chart. Currently, they are testing a critical defense level of $370 billion.

A break above this threshold could trigger a staggering 317% rally, possibly pushing the total cap to $1.6 trillion. Such a move would mark the beginning of what many are calling a “strong altcoin season,” where it is little known cryptocurrencies could see great benefits.

Several key milestones from 2024 are expected to drive the expected growth. Bitcoin's Halving event, which historically leads to supply constraints, is ready to play an important role.

In addition, licenses are expected for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for coins like XRP, Litecoin or Solana could further legitimize Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the eyes of mainstream investors, according to the report.

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CoinGecko further highlights political factors, such as pro-digital asset policies from influential figures such as President-elect Donald Trump, that could create an environment for growth. As cryptocurrencies begin to integrate more deeply into economic frameworks, their adoption is likely to increase.

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The daily chart shows the total crypto market capitalization consolidating above the $3 trillion level. Source: TOTAL on TradingView.com

At the time of writing, the total capitalization of the crypto market is $3.22 trillion. Bitcoin, trading at $94,456, recorded a loss of 1.8% and 3% on the 24 and seven day time frames, respectively.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com



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