Migration Italy Shipwreck.jpg

The Mediterranean claimed more than 2,200 migrant lives in 2024. Here's why it could be worse this year


More than 2,200 people died or went missing trying to cross the Mediterranean Sea last year, the The United Nations says. With more European countries supporting success far-right policies aimed at excluding migrantsexperts warn that even more lives could be lost in 2025 without real change.

As revelers rang in the new year across the globe, grim news emerged from the Mediterranean: A small boat traveling from Libya had sunk near the Italian island of Lampedusa, leaving just seven people alive, including an eight-year-old child whose mother was among more than 20 people reported missing.

It is a very common story in the area, where countless ships carry migrants trying to cross the waters to Europe. Many do not complete their journey. Nearly 1,700 people were killed or went missing in 2024 along the central Mediterranean route, which stretches from North Africa to Italy and Malta.

The deaths come after a year of growing crackdowns on civilian lifeboats in the Mediterranean, as well as an effort by Italy's hardline government to remove asylum seekers to Albania.

Michael Gordon, a researcher at the Balsillie School of International Affairs in Waterloo, Ont., said non-governmental organizations that conduct search and rescue operations have become an “easy scapegoat” for authorities who are overwhelmed by the flow of migrants.

“The result of this crime (is) … there are fewer assets out at sea helping migrants in distress. And as a result, people will continue to die,” he said in an interview by CBC News.

A small yellow rubber dinghy approaches a larger white rubber dinghy full of people. Workers on the yellow boat are throwing life jackets and one worker is in the water between the two boats.
Members of SOS Méditerranée take part in a rescue operation in 2021, after a dingy rubber boat in distress was spotted from the bridge of the Viking Ocean, the organization's humanitarian ship, in the Mediterranean Sea. About 104 people were rescued. (Fabian Mondl/SOS Méditerranée)

more than 31,000 migrants have died or gone missing in the Mediterranean since 2014, according to the International Organization for Migration (IOM), a United Nations agency.

The death toll in 2024 includes “hundreds of children, who make up one in five people who migrate through the Mediterranean Sea,” Regina De Dominicis , UNICEF regional director for Europe and Central Asia and special coordinator for the refugee and migration response in Europe, said in report Last week. “Most are fleeing from violent conflict and poverty.”

'Widespread crime' of civilian rescue boats

Growing anti-immigration sentiment is making these crossings more dangerous, according to experts and human rights groups.

In 2023, Italy made it illegal for search and rescue NGOs to carry out more than one rescue at a time, meaning ships would have to ignore any other distress calls they received, or risk a hefty fine and keep their ships.

In November, the German non-governmental organization Sea-Watch filed criminal complaint against Italian authorities over a shipwreck in September that killed 21 people, alleging that he had notified the Italian coastguard of a boat in distress but that a rescue vessel had not been dispatched put in for two days.

A man walks up a metal staircase inside a ship, one hand on the white rail. It is brightly lit.
A migrant disembarks from the rescue ship Geo Barents, operated by Médecins Sans Frontières / Doctors Without Borders, in the port of Civitavecchia, Italy, in October 2023. (Darrin Zammit Lupi/Reuters)

Italian authorities also regularly designate distant ports for NGO rescue ships. Last month, SOS Méditerranée, an international rescue organization, shared on social media that it was had to travel more than 1,600 kilometers for several days to bring 162 survivors to safety after Italian authorities ignored complaints for a closer port of entry.

“We are being punished for simply fulfilling our legal duty to save lives,” said Juan Matias Gil, a representative with Médecins Sans Frontières/Doctors Without Borders, in report after his rescue ship issued a 60-day detention order in August.

This “widespread criminalization” of unnecessary civilian rescue operations is putting lives at risk, said researcher Gordon, who also works with Wilfrid Laurier University's International Migration Research Centre.

“I think this is also very much linked to the rise of far-right governments in Europe.”

Immigrants come in large numbers in Italy

The policies of Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, who was elected in 2022 on an anti-immigration platform, brought results to her government in 2024. Just over 66,000 migrants arrived in Italy by boat last year , down about 60 percent from the country's 157,000 arrivals in 2023 The Ministry of the Interior reports.

The number of deaths and disappearances in the Mediterranean – already a lower estimate, as many boats disappear without a trace during the crossing – fell by about 28 percent in in 2024 compared to the previous year, according to IOM data.

A slightly blurry photo taken from a boat looking down on a smaller boat or raft full of people shows workers reaching out from the main boat towards the people on the boat less. The smaller boat is also covered in clothing and other debris.
A rescue operation approaches a migrant boat in the Mediterranean Sea, off the island of Lampedusa, in this image from a video released by the Italian coast guard on April 11, 2024. Coastguards rescued 22 people and found back nine bodies after a smuggler. a ship sank in a storm. (Guardia Costiera/The Associated Press)

“The fact that there are fewer people coming in does not mean that we have fewer risks,” Nicola Dell'Arciprete, UNICEF's country coordinator for migration and refugee response in Italy, told CBC News .

Dell'Arciprete has worked with children who have fled war, extreme poverty or political upheaval. Many come without parents or guardians.

“They are really running from a nightmare,” he said. “The factors that push people towards Europe are not changing much.”

A woman straightens a gold emergency blanket draped over a child. Only a small part of the top of the baby's head is visible under the blanket. A worker in a helmet and a blue shirt with a sun on the back leans over the other two, offering what looks like a hot water bottle.
In this image available on December 12, 2024, rescuers attend to an 11-year-old girl from Sierra Leone who was found floating in the Mediterranean Sea, off the Italian island of Lampedusa, and is being believed to be the sole survivor of a shipwrecked migrant. a ship that had left the port of Sfax in Tunisia. (Compass Collective/The Associated Press)

Reducing migrant deaths requires more investment in reception centres, emergency plans for high arrival times, safer and legal routes for immigration and strengthened search and rescue operations, Dell'Arciprete said, adding that it is the question of whether there is “political will. move along those lines.”

This year, European countries will be evaluating their regulations to plan for implementing the new thing European Union Agreement on Asylum and Migration. The deal, the first update to Europe's asylum laws in two decades, was agreed in 2024 but will not see full implementation until 2026.

The EU pays countries to control migrants

Italy and the EU have focused heavily on countries of origin for migration control. The EU delivered ten million euros of aid to him Tunisia in 2023 to boost border controls and stop migrant boats from leaving its shores, he wrote 7.4 billion euro contract ($11 billion Cdn) to strengthen “stability” in Egypt, with a focus on migration control.

Meloni played a key role in securing the Tunisia deal, which is now largely credited with the drop in migrant arrivals in 2024, along with a similar agreement with Italy Italy did to Libya in 2017.

A blonde woman can be seen from the shoulders up in profile view, looking to the left of the picture. There is a blue microphone in front of her.
The policies of Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, who was shown in Hungary in November, have won her praise from other European leaders who want to repeat her anti-immigration strategies but they has also led to criticism from human rights groups and legal challenges in the Italian courts. (Peter David Josek/The Associated Press)

Human rights groups have said that migrants found at sea who have been returned to Libya are being subjected to torture and abuse in arbitrary detention.

Nevertheless, Italy's immigration policies have received praise from other European leaders, such as British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, who in September recommended “amazing progress” in Italy.

Italy's latest tactic to reduce migration collapsed last fall, when Meloni struck a deal with Albania that would see up to 36,000 asylum seekers sent directly to the country outside the EU each year. a year to wait for deportation, only to be denied by the Italian courts. verifying the movement of migrants.

The plan is now on hold due to disagreements about what constitutes a safe country, although Meloni promised in December to continue with the project.

Experts say that without meaningful change, accidents in the Mediterranean will continue.

“Until we strengthen the search and rescue operations, until we create safe and legal routes for children to travel to Europe, we are going to see more people die,” said Dell'Arciprete. “And yes that's a simple fact.”

WATCH | Boat accident off Italy kills dozens of asylum seekers:

Dozens of migrants killed in boat accident off Italy

At least 59 migrants have died after a boat capsized off the coast of Italy with up to 200 people on board. Many of the dead were children. The tragedy has drawn the issue of irregular and dangerous migration routes back into the spotlight.



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